Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 46.271452 53.106360 60.216060 68.132211 76.669144 85.569165 95.519953
2024-10-13 36.676609 46.376275 57.040760 69.505008 83.546684 98.759430 116.371361
2024-10-20 29.883366 40.867295 53.479696 68.760748 86.515873 106.260336 129.645871
2024-10-27 24.185365 35.733500 49.557485 66.867811 87.536254 111.038517 139.407669
2024-11-03 21.929283 34.416395 49.845970 69.639141 93.733891 121.558523 155.579994
2024-11-10 19.644725 32.745688 49.442828 71.356715 98.513248 130.314253 169.645130
2024-11-17 16.636073 29.752769 47.071076 70.379913 99.824664 134.816334 178.610621
2024-11-24 14.077132 27.072336 44.850544 69.370280 100.911682 138.909829 186.985710
2024-12-01 12.284348 25.281185 43.645673 69.524627 103.337563 144.544271 197.153194
2024-12-08 10.748374 23.690817 42.571580 69.731504 105.740310 150.091924 207.184685
2024-12-15 9.541778 22.471347 41.909246 70.402184 108.676384 156.263291 217.964134
2024-12-22 8.088268 20.656623 40.241128 69.580522 109.580636 159.837783 225.522091
2024-12-29 7.270771 19.855176 40.038521 70.793130 113.201688 166.908955 237.522361
2025-01-05 6.571243 19.177817 39.969478 72.163029 117.026453 174.257747 249.914496
2025-01-12 5.512540 17.662534 38.480154 71.406046 117.924090 177.824164 257.559292
2025-01-19 4.380921 15.790807 36.266774 69.466963 117.114583 179.119840 262.297554
2025-01-26 4.194997 15.890223 37.279512 72.304772 122.881064 188.966556 277.881118
2025-02-02 3.850940 15.585072 37.582763 74.062977 127.151566 196.876980 291.038237
2025-02-09 3.142291 14.297360 36.113755 73.063108 127.523778 199.649416 297.636849
2025-02-16 2.528593 13.086717 34.675850 72.029503 127.787888 202.238618 303.976219
2025-02-23 2.134704 12.352336 34.031055 72.187524 129.715402 207.019866 313.134489
2025-03-02 1.795453 11.679612 33.444710 72.399319 131.696754 211.864277 322.379686
2025-03-09 1.541380 11.193072 33.170410 73.085906 134.351938 217.612867 332.810894